Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:00	Migu


	Changchun Xidu		Hubei Istar

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.90	3.75
	1.91	3.10	3.60
	1.98	3.05	4.74
	1.92	3.14	4.04	Watch
	1.96	2.60	4.65
	1.95	3.26	4.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	4.13 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
47.3%

Draw
30.5%

Hubei Istar
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Xidu's performance.

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hubei Istar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Xidu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubei Istar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Hu H. (G) 5. Yang Lei 58. Kadir Aysan 15. Geng Xianglong 8. Yu Z. 3. Yangyang Ma 45. Yang Jingfan 10. Huang Wenzhuo (C) 2. Wang Song 11. Sun Fei 29. Memet Nuryasin	22. Xiang Yufei (G) 13. Pan Jinglue 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 4. Sun Tianyu 3. Tang Xin 19. Qu D. 15. Nur Sherzat 30. Li Yubing 10. Wen Jialong 21. Li B. 57. Li X.
Substitutes
44. Chen Quanjiang 49. Feng Zijun 14. He Youzu 39. Liang Huan 37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 6. Liu Yang 21. Wang H. 13. Wang Tianci 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 18. Zhong Weihong	6. Du Xiaoyu 7. Guo Yi 33. Hongxiang S. 32. Jiang Chengen (G) 12. Lin F. 1. Meng Derui (G) 23. Sun W. 25. Wang Y. 41. Yu Jingcheng 27. Zhang Yixuan 18. Zhu Shiqi
Coaches
Li Bin	Wan Houliang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Wang Song ⚽, Sun Fei (A),
12', Tang Xin ↓, Hongxiang S. ↑,
22', Li X. 🟨,
40', Geng Xianglong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
51', Qu D. ↓, Wang Y. ↑,
51', Li X. ↓, Lin F. ↑,
68', Hongxiang S. ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
74', Huang Wenzhuo ↓, Liu Yang ↑,
77', Wang Song ↓, He Youzu ↑,
90+4', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,

Preview

Changchun Xidu is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hubei Istar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Changchun Xidu is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Changchun Xidu has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Changchun Xidu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Hubei Istar - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
12.10.26	Wenzhou Professional - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTTWW
- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
11.10.26	Dalian Yingbo B - Hubei Istar	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Shanghai Second - Hubei Istar	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:2
24.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar	1:0
23.03.25	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:3

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