Match Info

Yi League - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan)


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.75	3.3	1.89
	3.69	3.26	1.91
	3.7	3.32	1.94	Watch
	3.71	3.22	1.93
	3.4	3.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.55)	3.23 ↑ (2.97)	1.94 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
25.1%

Draw
28%

Jiangxi Lushan
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

30.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jiangxi Lushan (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Shanxi (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanxi (votes: 1 - 25%). Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rong Shang (G) 47. Ablimit Feruk 17. Ilhamjan Iminjan 33. Liu Tianyang 8. Li Zhongting 37. Su Shun 31. Tan Tiancheng 18. Xiaohan L. 23. Zhang Ao 6. Zhang Wei 3. Zheng Yiming	12. Li Chen (G) 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 10. Abdusalam S. 14. Chen Yunhua 22. Li Jiahao 60. Qurban W. 5. Shi Jiwei 18. Song Yi 6. Xu Yougang 13. Zhang Yanjun
Substitutes
35. Bai Xuyao 9. Gong Zheng 15. Huang Zhiyuan 51. Hu Binrong 32. Jiang Feng 7. Li Jinqing 49. Lu Jiajun 42. Teng Hui (G) 16. Wang Jiaqi 5. Wu Peng 58. Zhang Hanwen 45. Zheng Jinyang	31. Bai Zijian 36. Hu Jiali 25. Li Chenguang 7. Sun Yue 16. Sun Yunlong 29. Tang Zhiheng 3. Wang Hongbin 26. Wang J. 27. Wang Xibo (G) 15. Xu Lei 23. Xu Zhaoji 4. Zhu Mingxin
Coaches
Yu M.	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Qurban W. ⚽, Sun Yue (A),
39', Zheng Yiming 🟨,
43', Abdukerim Qaharman 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ablimit Feruk ↓, Lu Jiajun ↑,
46', Su Shun ↓, Gong Zheng ↑,
52', Zhang Yanjun 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Abdukerim Qaharman ⚽, Qurban W. (A),
61', Qurban W. ↓, Li Chenguang ↑,
73', Li Zhongting ↓, Li Jinqing ↑,
74', Li Jiahao ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
83', Liu Tianyang ↓, Jiang Feng ↑,
83', Zhang Wei ↓, Wu Peng ↑,
85', Abdusalam S. ↓, Xu Lei ↑,
85', Sun Yue ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
86', Sun Yue 🟨,
87', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
88', Zheng Jinyang 🟥,
90+7', 0 - 3, Abdukerim Qaharman ⚽, Li Chenguang (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Shanxi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jiangxi Lushan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jiangxi Lushan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
25.05.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	7:0 ✺
16.05.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shandong Taishan B	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Taian Tiankuang - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
26.05.25	Shandong Taishan B - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar	2:4 ✺
11.05.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Jiangxi Lushan	4:1 ✺
07.05.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Taian Tiankuang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
22.03.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:1

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide