Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Dingnan United		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.13	3.22	3.55
	1.98	3.22	3.93	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.92	3.18	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.52)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	3.67 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
45.8%

Draw
29.3%

Changchun Yatai
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dingnan United's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Du Jia (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 35. Ependi Nizamdin 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 8. Zhang Zimin 34. Hao Yucheng 10. Tang Shi (C) 11. Erikys 9. Ma Chenghao	13. Dong Yifan (G) 33. Sun Guoliang 27. Reiner C. 41. Wu Junjie 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 16. Tudi Dilyimit 6. Li Qiang 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 7. Salazar J.
Substitutes
28. Cheng Yetong 18. Fan Bojian 25. Gao J. 19. Han Yuchen 39. Huang Jiale 20. Jiang Yixiang 7. Palacios M. 37. Petrov M. 30. Ren Zening 15. Wu Mingyu 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 24. Yang Chen (G)	1. An Z. (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 35. Jiang Zilei 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 36. Lu K. 18. Lu Pin 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 8. Wu Zhicheng
Coaches
Mao Biao	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Zhu Jiaxuan ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
40', Sun Guoliang 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Tudi Dilyimit (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Salazar J. ⚽, Li Qiang (A),
55', Zhang Zimin ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
55', Yan Jiahao ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
61', Erikys 🟨,
67', Ma Chenghao ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
69', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
69', Tan Long 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Salazar J. ⚽, Reiner C. (A),
73', 2 - 3, Wang Sihan ⚽, Ependi Nizamdin (A),
79', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Cheng Yetong ↑,
79', Wu Junjie ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
79', Hao Yucheng ↓, Han Yuchen ↑,
86', Tan Long ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
87', Li Qiang ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
90+5', Reiner C. 🟨,
90+6', Salazar J. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 12).

Dingnan United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Changchun Yatai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWTT
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
03.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches