Match Info

K3-K4 League Cup - Final

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Busan Kyotong		Pocheon

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.70	1.61
	3.85	3.55	1.65
	4.1	3.55	1.62
	4.44	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.44)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
21.2%

Draw
24.4%

Pocheon
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.1%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Pocheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Busan Kyotong - Pocheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 3.

In recent outings, Busan Kyotong has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pocheon is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pocheon carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Busan Kyotong has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Busan Kyotong against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
13.09.26	Dangjin Citizen - Busan Kyotong	5:3 ✺
06.09.26	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	4:3 ✺
South Korean K3 K4 League Cup
14.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
13.09.26	Yangpyeong - Pocheon	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Pocheon - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Siheung - Pocheon	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Pocheon - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 K4 League Cup
15.08.26	Geoje Citizen - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
06.06.26	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:1
07.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:0
23.08.25	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	3:1
26.04.25	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:1
14.09.24	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:3
18.05.24	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:1
16.09.23	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	2:1

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