Match Info

K3 League - Round 7

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Changwon City		Gyeongju KH&NP

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.92	2.38	Watch
	3.09	2.97	2.54
	2.93	3	2.42
	2.88	2.8	2.38
	3.12	3.12	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.58)	2.96 ↓ (3.08)	2.41 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
30.8%

Draw
31%

Gyeongju KH&NP
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 0.

Changwon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gyeongju KH&NP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gyeongju KH&NP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 5:26. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gyeongju KHNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	4	35
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mokpo City - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLT
- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
11.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Busan Kyotong	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.10.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	0:0
07.06.25	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0
29.09.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	0:0
02.06.24	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1
08.07.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	3:0
24.03.23	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0
10.06.22	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:2

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