Match Info

K3 League - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Changwon City		Jeonbuk 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.49	3.85	5.40	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.24
	1.65	3.87	4.5	Watch
	1.50	3.95	6.15
	1.56	4.06	5.47
	1.52	3.80	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	5.39 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
59.8%

Draw
23.1%

Jeonbuk 2
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

19.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Jeonbuk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changwon City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonbuk 2 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeonbuk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Changwon City - Jeonbuk 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Changwon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Changwon City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Recent performances by Changwon have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeonbuk 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Changwon has had a series of home games.

Recently, Jeonbuk 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Changwon is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Changwon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29
14	Jeonbuk 2	23	1	7	15	23:51	-28	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Changwon City - Gimhae	1:5 ✺
South Korean K3 League
12.07.26	Changwon City - Chuncheon	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Changwon City - Geumsan Insam	3:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTWTL
- Jeonbuk 2
South Korean K3 League
18.07.26	Dangjin Citizen - Jeonbuk 2	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Yangpyeong - Jeonbuk 2	5:2 ✺
27.06.26	Siheung - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Daejeon Korail - Jeonbuk 2	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	2:3
01.08.25	Changwon City - Jeonbuk 2	3:1
19.04.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	0:2

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