Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday


	Chapecoense U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	4.1	4	1.62
	4.6	3.8	1.5
	4.6	4	1.55
	4.95	4.25	1.56
	5	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.31)	4.05 ↑ (3.22)	1.55 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense U20
19.5%

Draw
22.3%

São Paulo U20
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

18.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense U20's form might have worsened.

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense U20 than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chapecoense U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Chapecoense U20 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo U20 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chapecoense U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo U20 is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chapecoense U20 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC U20
Brasileiro U20
09.10.21	Chapecoense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:3 ✺
02.10.21	Atletico GO U20 - Chapecoense U20	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Chapecoense U20 - Corinthians U20	2:3 ✺
19.09.21	Chapecoense U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	4:2 ✺
12.09.21	Ceará U20 - Chapecoense U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLWW
- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
03.10.21	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.21	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.21	Flamengo RJ U20 - São Paulo U20	4:2 ✺
05.09.21	São Paulo U20 - Ceará U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
25.11.20	São Paulo U20 - Chapecoense U20	2:2
07.08.19	Chapecoense U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
Copa do Brasil U20
19.04.18	São Paulo U20 - Chapecoense U20	0:0
12.04.18	Chapecoense U20 - São Paulo U20	0:3
Brazilian Copinha
11.01.18	São Paulo U20 - Chapecoense U20	2:0
Brasileiro U20
06.09.17	Chapecoense U20 - São Paulo U20	0:3 penalties
30.08.17	São Paulo U20 - Chapecoense U20	2:0

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