The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapulineros de Oaxaca 44%
Draw 25.4%
Tritones Vallarta 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.1%
23.3%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
22.4%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapulineros de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapulineros de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.
Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tritones Vallarta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapulineros de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tritones Vallarta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Tritones Vallarta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 7th and 9th).
In recent outings, Chapulineros has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tritones Vallarta is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tritones Vallarta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Tritones Vallarta has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Chapulineros is considered the favorite to take the win.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Watch
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