Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Lopes V. (Por)


	Chaves		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.65	2.87	2.5
	2.92	3.1	2.4
	3.22	3.11	2.43
	3.11	3.15	2.36	Watch
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.02	3.23	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.66)	3.06 ↑ (2.84)	2.37 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
31%

Draw
30.1%

Académico de Viseu
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

34.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Chaves - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Viseu will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 50%). Viseu (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 19. Tiago Almeida 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. 77. Reinaldo 27. Esajas R. 17. Roberto 10. Rodrigues A.	75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 5. Pedro Barcelos 41. Correia A. 57. Costa G. 7. Silva L. 14. Messeguem S. 47. Gohi L. 17. Kahraman C. 32. Zamora A. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
34. Alves R. 44. Bikoro F. 15. Carraca 7. Delgado J. 23. Gudzulic M. (G) 5. Kiko 22. Muscat Z. 26. Rodrigues G. 29. Tounkara M.	1. Bruno Brigido (G) 6. Ceitil A. 21. Domingos T. 31. Joao Guilherme 10. Lucas Gabriel 66. Milioransa I. 22. Mortimer N. 44. Pereira R. 11. Steczyk D.
Coaches
Martins V.	Fonseca S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Pedro Barcelos 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Roberto 🟨,
68', Gohi L. ↓, Joao Guilherme ↑,
70', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
70', Roberto ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
81', Kahraman C. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
81', Rodrigues A. ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
81', Esajas R. ↓, Carraca ↑,
81', Zamora A. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
83', Carraca 🟨,
87', Tiago Almeida ↓, Alves R. ↑,
90+1', Silva L. ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.

Chaves has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Viseu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chaves - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.26	Vizela - Chaves	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Chaves - Farense	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Feirense - Chaves	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Chaves - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.26	Académico de Viseu - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
06.02.26	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0
17.01.25	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	3:0
10.08.24	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	2:1
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.22	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	0:2
26.08.21	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	3:0
18.04.21	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	2:1

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