Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV7


	Vizela		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.29	3.1	3.5
	2.27	3.16	3.25	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.23	3.04	3.44
	2.5	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.55)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.17 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Chaves
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Vizela - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 55. Hristov A. 13. Rocha L. 20. Godwin O. 22. Busnic A. 5. Moha Moukhliss 21. Ramos R. 24. Morschel H. (C) 36. Lacava M. 29. Kitala Y.	1. Vozinha (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 15. Carraca (C) 20. Ktatau 44. Bikoro F. 77. Reinaldo 27. Esajas R. 17. Roberto 10. Rodrigues A.
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 18. Demchenko N. 23. Fortune Y. 45. Ivanov H. 7. Loppy D. 14. Pierre L. 25. Ruly (G) 37. Sampaio J. 11. Thio	34. Alves R. 7. Delgado J. 23. Gudzulic M. (G) 97. Joao Teixeira 5. Kiko 26. Rodrigues G. 19. Tiago Almeida 29. Tounkara M. 21. Wellington Carvalho
Coaches
Silva N.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Esajas R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Lacava M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Ramos R. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Romero A. ⚽,
54', Rodrigues A. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
54', Kitala Y. ↓, Fortune Y. ↑,
62', Lacava M. ↓, Thio ↑,
62', Ramos R. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
68', Reinaldo 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Morschel H. ⚽,
71', Carraca ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,
71', Esajas R. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Morschel H. ⚽,
81', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
81', Bikoro F. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Delgado J. ⚽,
90+5', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
90+7', Busnic A. 🟨,
90+11', Fortune Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chaves - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
20.02.26	Leixões - Vizela	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Vizela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vizela - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Porto B - Vizela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.26	Chaves - Farense	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Feirense - Chaves	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Chaves - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:0
05.04.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:2
08.11.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1
Liga Portugal
15.04.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1
10.02.23	Vizela - Chaves	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
22.11.22	Vizela - Chaves	2:2

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