Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Chayka 2		Kyzyltash

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.24	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.45)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka 2
17.2%

Draw
27.8%

Kyzyltash
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.8%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

27.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Kyzyltash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzyltash than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Morgunov A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Kuzmin I. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Vasilenko A. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Veselovsky R. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 6th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Chayka 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Kyzyltash for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Chayka 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kyzyltash	24	11	4	9	41:34	7	37
14	FK Chayka 2	25	5	2	18	23:57	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
19.09.26	Chayka 2 - Zarya	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Chayka 2	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chayka 2 - Rostov 2	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Chayka 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- PFK Kyzyltash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
12.09.26	Kyzyltash - Rubin Yalta	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	FC Sevastopol - Kyzyltash	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kyzyltash - Nart Cherkessk	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Kyzyltash	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kyzyltash - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.04.26	Kyzyltash - Chayka 2	2:0

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