Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shakhtyor Taganrog		Chayka 2

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.35	9.95
	1.2	6.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.38)	6.43 ↑ (6.1)	8.73 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Taganrog
75.6%

Draw
14.1%

Chayka 2
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

15%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

14%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtyor Taganrog's performance.

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Taganrog than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Makhatadze G. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Moiseev K. ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, Reichman B. ⚽,
24', 3 - 1, Kuzmin I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 2, Posmashnyi N. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Suanov R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 14).

Shakhtyor Taganrog has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chayka 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chayka 2 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shakhtyor Taganrog is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhtyor Taganrog won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shahter Taganrog	25	15	5	5	47:25	22	50
14	FK Chayka 2	25	5	2	18	23:57	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtyor Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.09.26	Zarya - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Nart Cherkessk	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Astrakhan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWW
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.09.26	Chayka 2 - Rostov 2	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Chayka 2	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Chayka 2 - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chayka 2 - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.05.26	Chayka 2 - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:4

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