Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Khromey Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	7.12
	1.48	4.05	6.81	Watch
	1.73	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	6.31 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
60.7%

Draw
24.2%

Alania Vladikavkaz
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

22.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chayka Peschanokopskoye's performance.

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chayka Peschanokopskoye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alania Vladikavkaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peschanokopskoye (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Khodanovich A. (G) 2. Pelikh D. 4. Ibragimov K. 44. Karmaev N. 32. Pivovarov D. 77. Zarypbekov E. 10. Malyarov N. 18. Nikolaev O. 13. Yanov D. 20. Biblyk S. 7. Khokhlachev A.	23. Natabashvili G. (G) 95. Gogniev S. 71. Byazrov A. 58. Yshyk M. 19. Butaev A. 9. Zakirov A. M. 79. Chertkoev D. 75. Ogoev S. 8. Khugaev A. 27. Gogniev R. 18. Toboev T.
Substitutes
8. Arbuzov Y. 17. Bammatgereev M. 78. Chernyakov D. 99. Evdokimov A. 9. Kozachenko O. 19. Rudenko V. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 97. Torop M.	87. Bulatsev T. 73. Chirkov M. 65. Datiev Z. S. 70. Daurov R. 28. Dudaev I. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Kazantsev D. 77. Kokoev D. 25. Kokoev D. 21. Kozyrev A. 24. Magomedov A. (G) 76. Nafikov V.
Coaches
Pervushin S.	Gogniev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Yshyk M. 🟨,
31', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
40', Gogniev S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Zakirov A. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Malyarov N. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
57', Pivovarov D. ↓, Bammatgereev M. ↑,
58', Toboev T. ↓, Kozyrev A. ↑,
62', Karmaev N. 🟨,
68', Chertkoev D. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
68', Yanov D. ↓, Chernyakov D. ↑,
70', 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Gogniev R. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, ⚽,
89', Gogniev R. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
90', Khugaev A. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Peschanokopskoye has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alania is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Peschanokopskoye is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
26.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Sochi	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
27.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	2:4 ✺
20.04.25	Sochi - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3
Club Friendly
28.06.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:4
Russian FNL
15.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1
08.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3
Club Friendly
13.07.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide