Match Info

FNL - Round 30

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Sidenkov I. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	6.23	4.25	1.53
	6.58	4.05	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (4.93)	4.15 ↑ (3.58)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
14.8%

Draw
22.8%

Torpedo Moscow
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

26.3%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

26%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Natabashvili G. (G) 19. Butaev A. 79. Chertkoev D. 73. Chirkov M. 70. Daurov R. 58. Isik M. 12. Kazantsev D. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 25. Kokoev D. 76. Nafikov V. 9. Zakirov A. M.	74. Volkov M. (G) 27. Alykulov G. 19. Baytukov R. 97. Curic M. 15. Danilkin E. (C) 10. Guzman Y. 3. Ivankov A. 80. Khosonov K. 69. Manelov I. 99. Shevchenko G. 7. Yushin A.
Substitutes
87. Bulatsev T. 71. Byazrov A. 28. Dudaev I. 37. Gagloev T. 27. Gogniev R. 95. Gogniev S. 4. Kachmazov S. 21. Kozyrev A. 24. Magomedov A. (G) 75. Ogoev S. 18. Toboev T.	8. Alesson 12. Baburin E. (G) 51. Botnar V. (G) 89. Chervyakov R. 84. Churilov V. 22. Galkin V. 17. Gorbunov I. 2. Isaev K. 87. Kostin A. 9. Maksimov M. 52. Netfullin R. 11. Shamkin D.
Coaches
Gogniev S.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Yushin A. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Kokoev D. ↓, Kozyrev A. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Curic M. (Pen),
53', 0 - 3, Yushin A. ⚽, Shevchenko G. (A),
61', Chertkoev D. ↓, Gogniev R. ↑,
61', Kazantsev D. ↓, Kachmazov S. ↑,
61', Daurov R. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
63', Curic M. 🟨,
65', Kachmazov S. 🟨,
69', 0 - 4, Guzman Y. ⚽,
69', Curic M. ↓, Netfullin R. ↑,
69', Alykulov G. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
69', Manelov I. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
73', Khosonov K. ↓, Kostin A. ↑,
79', Guzman Y. ↓, Gorbunov I. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Ogoev S. ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, Gagloev T. ⚽,
90+3', Shevchenko G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alania won 2.

Alania is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Torpedo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Torpedo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alania won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
20.04.25	Sochi - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLLTW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
21.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0
12.05.24	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
14.08.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
Club Friendly
23.01.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
Russian FNL
06.11.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	5:1
24.07.21	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:1
17.04.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	1:1

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