Match Info

FNL - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Ufa		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	5.81	Watch
	1.94	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.3 (3.3)	5.06 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
52.7%

Draw
28.6%

Alania Vladikavkaz
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

29%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.6%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alania will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (G) 5. Kutin D. 45. Tenyaev A. (C) 7. Perchenok A. 27. Anisimov A. 4. Kornyushin D. 18. Gurenko A. 15. Bocherov V. 21. Matskharashvili N. 88. Ageyan M. 11. Lozhkin V.	24. Magomedov A. (G) 19. Butaev A. 12. Kazantsev D. 4. Kachmazov S. 58. Isik M. 73. Chirkov M. 70. Daurov R. 9. Zakirov A. M. 27. Gogniev R. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 21. Kozyrev A.
Substitutes
9. Adaev V. 23. Akhatov D. 77. Chernyak I. 93. Garaev V. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 62. Karpov V. 48. Lukyanov A. 17. Ozmanov D. 89. Stotsky D. 31. Svinov I. (G) 79. Troyanov K.	87. Bulatsev T. 71. Byazrov A. 65. Datiev Z. S. 95. Gogniev S. 25. Kokoev D. 76. Nafikov V. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 75. Ogoev S. 7. Tavzarashvili L. 57. Tepsikoev D. 18. Toboev T.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Gogniev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tenyaev A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Lozhkin V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Daurov R. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
59', Isik M. 🟨,
67', Kachmazov S. ↓, Bulatsev T. ↑,
67', Kozyrev A. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
69', Lozhkin V. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
70', Anisimov A. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
71', Tenyaev A. 🟨,
72', Khugaev A. (Pen),
86', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Khugaev A. ⚽,
90+4', Gurenko A. ↓, Stotsky D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ufa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alania is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ufa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
05.04.25	Tyumen - Ufa	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	KAMAZ - Ufa	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:6 ✺
15.03.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLT
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
05.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rodina Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tyumen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	0:0
27.11.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	2:1
07.08.22	Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:3
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	2:0

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