Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Falov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	3.39	2.85	2.36	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)	2.41 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
28.5%

Draw
32.6%

Shinnik
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shinnik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Natabashvili G. (G) 19. Butaev A. 73. Chirkov M. 65. Datiev Z. S. 58. Isik M. 12. Kazantsev D. 76. Nafikov V. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 9. Zakirov A. M. 79. Chertkoev D. 21. Kozyrev A.	1. Oparin M. (G) 89. Zagre B. 27. Chernyi A. 30. Gogoua A. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 70. Kul R. 50. Golubev A. 24. Jonathan J. 61. Malakhov A. 11. Fedorov Z. 38. Aleynikov V. (C)
Substitutes
87. Bulatsev T. 71. Byazrov A. 70. Daurov R. 28. Dudaev I. 27. Gogniev R. 95. Gogniev S. 4. Kachmazov S. 25. Kokoev D. 24. Magomedov A. (G) 75. Ogoev S. 7. Tavzarashvili L.	33. Lavrenkov A. 51. Mitrov T. (G) 90. Shakuro P. 10. Shipunov T. 7. Ukomskiy A. 75. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Fidarov O.	Pobegalov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Chertkoev D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Jonathan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Isik M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Zagre B. ⚽,
60', Datiev Z. S. ↓, Kachmazov S. ↑,
60', Nafikov V. ↓, Gogniev R. ↑,
71', Miroshnichenko N. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
76', Chertkoev D. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
76', Zakirov A. M. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
80', Jonathan J. ↓, Shakuro P. ↑,
84', Chirkov M. ↓, Gogniev S. ↑,
90+5', Gogoua A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alania won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alania won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
29.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sokol Saratov	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rodina Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tyumen	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLTL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
29.03.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Sochi - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Shinnik - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.08.24	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0
04.05.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:1
06.11.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3
22.04.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
01.10.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	3:1
11.04.21	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
17.10.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	4:4

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