Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Garbarnia Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.61	3.32	Watch
	1.54	5.2	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2)	4.41 ↑ (3.75)	3.25 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
51.4%

Draw
20.6%

Garbarnia Kraków
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chełmianka Chełm's performance.

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Recent matches Chełmianka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garbarnia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garbarnia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chełmianka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chełmianka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.05.24	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	6:0 ✺
20.04.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTTL
- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2:1 ✺
19.04.24	Karpaty Krosno - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Garbarnia Kraków	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1

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