The best margin for this event is 13.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chełmianka Chełm 58.5%
Draw 22.3%
Star Starachowice 19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
21%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Chełmianka Chełm have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Star Starachowice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features the league leader against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Division 2 and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 1.
Chełmianka is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Star Starachowice have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chełmianka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Chełmianka is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Chełmianka has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chełmianka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2.7:1 per game).