Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 22

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.45
	1.6	3.99	4.13
	1.58	4.23	4.45	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.57	3.94	4.77	Watch
	1.18	6.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.18)	4.4 ↓ (6.7)	5.05 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
60.8%

Draw
20.9%

Stal Kraśnik
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

13.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chełmianka Chełm's form might have worsened.

Stal Kraśnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Kraśnik's recent form is better than expected.

Chełmianka Chełm - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Wojdakowski D. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Tomczyk P. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Korbecki B. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Tomczyk P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 2.

Chełmianka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chełmianka is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chełmianka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chełmianka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisła II Kraków	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Chełmianka Chełm	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisłoka Dębica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWWT
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.03.26	Stal Kraśnik - Korona Kielce 2	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Stal Kraśnik - Wisła II Kraków	1:5 ✺
22.11.25	Star Starachowice - Stal Kraśnik	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Stal Kraśnik - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1
14.03.21	Chełmianka Chełm - Stal Kraśnik	3:1
12.08.20	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2
17.11.19	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0
12.05.19	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1
20.10.18	Chełmianka Chełm - Stal Kraśnik	1:3

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