Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.4
	1.71	3.81	4.06	Watch
	1.92	3.42	3.47	Watch
	1.72	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.57)	3.6 ↓ (4.1)	3.68 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
50%

Draw
25.3%

Stal Kraśnik
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Star Starachowice's form might have worsened.

Stal Kraśnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Star Starachowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Star Starachowice - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stal Kraśnik (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Kraśnik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 13).

In recent matches, Star Starachowice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stal Kraśnik is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Star Starachowice is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Star Starachowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.11.25	Star Starachowice - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTT
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.11.25	Stal Kraśnik - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Cracovia 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Star Starachowice	2:1

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