Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.93	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	1.98	3.89	3.32
	1.95	3.68	3.44
	1.9	3.55	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.48)	3.32 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
47.1%

Draw
25.4%

Havant & Waterlooville
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

25.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Havant will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 0.

Chelmsford in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Havant has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Havant have a series of home games.

Chelmsford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Chelmsford to win the game is with odds 1.98.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
15.08.23	Welling United - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Chelmsford City - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Heybridge Swifts - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWWW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
16.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	2:4 ✺
05.08.23	Weston-super-Mare - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Woking	1:3 ✺
15.07.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.02.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	3:0
03.09.22	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:4
05.03.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	2:1
30.10.21	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:3
05.12.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	3:1
English FA Trophy
14.12.19	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1
English National League South
17.08.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	0:0

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