Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.82
	1.9	3.72	3.71
	2.96	3.25	2.33	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.16	3.52	2.99
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
41.5%

Draw
27.2%

Farnborough
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelmsford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Chelmsford City - Farnborough Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Farnborough (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelmsford City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Farnborough (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Bloomfield M. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Huke R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Castiglione J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 3, Poleon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 1 - 4, Huke R. ⚽,
82', 2 - 4, Taylor L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 5, Bloomfield M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 3.

Recent performances by Chelmsford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farnborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chelmsford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 2.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 3.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
30.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLT
- Farnborough
English National League South
30.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.02.25	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	3:4
19.10.24	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	1:2
27.02.24	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	1:1
05.08.23	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	1:0
07.04.23	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	3:2
27.09.22	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	0:1
11.04.15	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	1:3

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