Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 15

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.75
	1.78	3.6	4.2
	1.82	3.45	3.6
	1.8	3.74	4.28
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.74	3.74	4.2
	1.82	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	3.99 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
51.7%

Draw
25.2%

Taunton Town
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Chelmsford City - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chelmsford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelmsford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
23.10.23	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Whitby Town - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Chelmsford City - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLTW
- Taunton Town
English National League South
24.10.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Taunton Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Dover Athletic - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Taunton Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.04.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	1:2
24.09.22	Taunton Town - Chelmsford City	0:0
English FA Trophy
26.11.16	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	1:0

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