Match Info

National League South - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.26	3.55	2.1
	3.12	3.75	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.1
	3.24	3.55	2.09
	3.14	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	2.09 (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
29.2%

Draw
26.4%

Chelmsford City
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Slough Town - Chelmsford City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Tuma B. ⚽,
28', Crowther A. 🟥,
28', 2 - 0, Makowski W. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 3 - 0, Makowski W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, Dyce T. ⚽,
69', 5 - 0, Walker H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slough won 1.

In recent matches, Slough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmsford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Slough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chelmsford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slough won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Slough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
24.01.26	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
13.01.26	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Slough Town - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
26.01.26	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Horsham - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Chelmsford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Enfield Town - Chelmsford City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.11.24	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	3:1
10.08.24	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	2:1
06.04.24	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	1:1
21.10.23	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:0
13.02.23	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	2:0
16.08.22	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:2
23.04.22	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	1:1

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