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Current Win Probability
Chelsea U21 63.5%
Draw 20.3%
Arsenal U21 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
21.6%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
22.5%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea U21's performance.
Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chelsea U21 - Arsenal U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Merrick M. (G) 2. Wilson K. 5. Antwi G. 4. Subuloye O. 3. Murray-Campbell H. 8. McMahon H. (C) 6. Harrison O. 7. Ampah A. 10. Walsh R. 11. Derry J. 9. Deivid Washington
1. Setford T. (G) 2. Nichols J. 5. Lannin-Sweet W. 4. Clarke B. 3. Washington M. 8. Copley L. (C) 6. Ibrahim I. 7. Stevens A. 10. Dudziak H. 11. Sagoe Jr C. 9. Harriman-Annous A.
Substitutes
15. Barbour K. 13. Curd T. (G) 14. Rak-Sakyi S. 16. Richards D. 12. Richards L.
14. Agustien D. 16. Ferdinand S. 12. Hamill C. 15. Kamara O. 13. Mitchell R. (G)
Coaches
McFarlane C.
Porter M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Derry J. ⚽, Ampah A. (A),
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Walsh R. ⚽, Ampah A. (A),
62', Stevens A. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
63', Ibrahim I. ↓, Ferdinand S. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Washington M. ⚽,
67', Walsh R. ↓, Rak-Sakyi S. ↑,
68', Deivid Washington ↓, Richards D. ↑,
75', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', Derry J. ↓, Barbour K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea U21 won 3.
Chelsea U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arsenal U21 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Arsenal U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chelsea U21 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chelsea U21 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
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Merrick M. (G) 
Antwi G. 
McMahon H. (C) 
Deivid Washington 
Lannin-Sweet W. 
Richards D. 
Agustien D. 
Kamara O. 
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