Match Info

EUROPE: Premier League International Cup

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Chelsea U21		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.4
	1.78	4	3.61
	1.75	3.92	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.16)	3.91 ↓ (3.94)	3.56 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea U21
51.3%

Draw
23.2%

Sporting Lisbon B
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

23.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea U21's performance.

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chelsea U21 - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Goncalves F. ⚽, Silva G. (A),
8', 1 - 1, George T. ⚽, Dyer K. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Silva G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League International Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sporting B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sporting B have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea U21
English Premier League Cup
21.12.24	Chelsea U21 - Bournemouth U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
16.12.24	Newcastle United U21 - Chelsea U21	3:2 ✺
29.11.24	Derby County U21 - Chelsea U21	2:6 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
26.11.24	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
08.11.24	Derby County U21 - Chelsea U21	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWL
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
05.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	4:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
22.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
19.12.24	Southampton U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	0:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.12.24	Académica Coimbra - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTL

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