Match Info

EUROPE: Premier League International Cup

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday


	Southampton U21		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.1	1.87
	3.03	4.39	1.97
	3.21	4.05	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.65)	4.18 ↑ (4)	1.9 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton U21
30%

Draw
21.9%

Sporting Lisbon B
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

21.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Southampton U21 - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Silva G. ⚽, Mendonca M. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Brito A. ⚽, Silva G. (A),
41', 0 - 3, Goncalves F. ⚽,
45', Silva G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 4, Brito A. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
80', 0 - 5, Moreira A. ⚽,

Preview

S`hampton U21 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sporting Lisbon B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
14.12.24	Manchester United U21 - Southampton U21	5:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
10.12.24	Southampton U21 - Real Sociedad B	3:4 ✺
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Aldershot Town - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.11.24	Stoke City U21 - Southampton U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
22.11.24	Southampton U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
15.12.24	Académica Coimbra - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Sporting Lisbon B - União de Santarém	3:3 ✺
10.11.24	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLW

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