Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelyabinsk		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	6.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	3.8 (3.8)	6.44 (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
61.9%

Draw
24%

Kuban Krasnodar
14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chelyabinsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kuban Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Chelyabinsk - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zadiraka V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 19. Komissarov T. 63. Nikitenkov A. 20. Pomerko A. 15. Pushkarev D. 55. Rogochiy B. 77. Samoilov D. 17. Uljanovskiy V.	1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 3. Bessmertnyi D. 78. Fust L. 8. Makhatadze G. 17. Moseychuk I. 77. Orlov A. 9. Reichmen B. 96. Smirnov A. 37. Vedeneev M. 27. Volkov S. 88. Yashin D.
Substitutes
5. Gatin B. 33. Gorbachik V. 10. Gruznov I. 2. Khozin V. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 70. Levin G. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 22. Pokotylo D. 8. Sokolov A. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 13. Tushin A.	10. Bagrintsev E. 51. Emeljanov E. 15. Kravchuk E. 19. Osipov E. 81. Pechura R. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 98. Vasin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Komissarov T. ⚽,
45', Nikitenkov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Gorbachik V. ⚽,
55', Pushkarev D. 🟨,
57', Komissarov T. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
62', Bessmertnyi D. ↓, Pechura R. ↑,
62', Fust L. ↓, Emeljanov E. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Emeljanov E. ⚽,
67', Pomerko A. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
71', Moseychuk I. 🟨,
74', Moseychuk I. ↓, Bagrintsev E. ↑,
74', Makhatadze G. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
75', Pushkarev D. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
88', Orlov A. ↓, Osipov E. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Chelyabinsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kuban is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chelyabinsk is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.04.25	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
23.04.25	Chelyabinsk - Veles Moscow	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWL
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.04.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Leningradets - Kuban Krasnodar	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Veles Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
16.03.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Chelyabinsk	0:1
29.09.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Chelyabinsk	2:1
04.08.24	Chelyabinsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1

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