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Current Win Probability
Chelyabinsk 52.1%
Draw 24.2%
Veles Moscow 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
27%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
25.7%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veles Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veles Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chelyabinsk - Veles Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zadiraka V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 5. Gatin B. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 19. Komissarov T. 20. Pomerko A. 15. Pushkarev D. 55. Rogochiy B. 77. Samoilov D. 17. Uljanovskiy V.
1. Mitsaev R. (G) 70. Arustamyan A. 6. Chobanov R. 10. Ivakin Y. 5. Koloskov A. 55. Konyukhov V. 95. Magomadov C. 17. Pesikov E. 3. Petrunin D. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O.
Substitutes
47. Glukhov E. 33. Gorbachik V. 10. Gruznov I. 2. Khozin V. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 70. Levin G. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 22. Pokotylo D. 8. Sokolov A. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 13. Tushin A.
11. Dibirov I. 90. Karpuk I. 81. Kobakhidze V. 14. Kotelnikov I. 25. Nasibov M. 80. Rybalko M. 8. Sedov M. 56. Sidelnikov M. 15. Sosranov R. 85. Zheymo N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Magomadov C. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Komissarov T. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Arustamyan A. ⚽,
34', Gatin B. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
41', Arustamyan A. 🟨,
45+3', Ivakin Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pushkarev D. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
55', Komissarov T. 🟨,
56', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
65', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
66', Arustamyan A. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Samoilov D. ⚽,
76', Komissarov T. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
76', Pokotylo D. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Gorbachik V. ⚽,
80', Shubin A. 🟨,
82', Shubin A. ↓, Dibirov I. ↑,
82', Smirnov O. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
82', Chobanov R. ↓, Kobakhidze V. ↑,
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
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Zadiraka V. (G) 
Gorbachik V. 
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