Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION A SILVER - FALL SEASON - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Chelyabinsk		Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.42	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.92)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	4.6 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
53.7%

Draw
26.5%

Novosibirsk
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.

Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novosibirsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Veselov D. (G) 20. Biblik S. 91. Gaziev A. 68. Gerchikov L. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 69. Kozlov D. 3. Kuryshev V. (C) 10. Matskharashvili N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 46. Pershin N.	31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 67. Erokhin K. 92. Khayrullov R. 23. Krotov A. 21. Makurin A. 8. Maleev A. 22. Narylkov S. (C) 24. Popov K. 10. Rozhkov N. 25. Solovyov A. 88. Tyurin V.
Substitutes
22. Cherkes E. 16. Glazkov S. (G) 8. Kiselev V. 87. Mayrovich M. 27. Palkin V. 6. Saraev K. 7. Vazitdinov R. 26. Velikorodnyi D. 9. Zyryanov N.	70. Bakharev G. 17. Bammatgereev M. 11. Glukhov E. 53. Ilyushenok M. (G) 35. Kiselev M. (G) 7. Komkov T. 77. Konoplev D. 9. Zhitnev M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 1.

Chelyabinsk is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Novosibirsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelyabinsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.10.23	Salyut Belgorod - Chelyabinsk	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Chelyabinsk - Forte Taganrog	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW
- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.10.23	Chertanovo - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Novosibirsk - Salyut Belgorod	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Novosibirsk - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Forte Taganrog - Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Novosibirsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
02.09.23	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	3:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
21.05.23	Chelyabinsk - Novosibirsk	0:1
29.04.23	Chelyabinsk - Novosibirsk	0:0
24.07.22	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	0:0
07.08.21	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	1:2
10.05.21	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	1:2
07.09.20	Chelyabinsk - Novosibirsk	1:2

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