Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.25	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	3.32 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
44.6%

Draw
28%

Veles Moscow
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volga Ulyanovsk's performance.

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Veles Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 7. Bagatelia L. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 30. Khabibullin A. 15. Kokoev D. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 70. Murza A. 28. Novikov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 37. Voronin E.	85. Zheymo N. (G) 10. Ivakin Y. 55. Konyukhov V. 2. Kutepov I. 95. Magomadov C. 17. Pesikov E. 3. Petrunin D. 8. Sedov M. 97. Shubin A. 56. Sidelnikov M. 77. Smirnov O.
Substitutes
77. Bilalov B. 48. Danilov A. 49. Dyatlov I. 47. Kravtsov Z. 4. Maksimenkov I. 14. Minaev R. 80. Novikov M. 99. Polyakh D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 27. Umnikov M. 10. Uridiya G.	11. Dibirov I. 22. Gubiev E. 90. Karpuk I. 81. Kobakhidze V. 5. Koloskov A. 14. Kotelnikov I. 4. Maklakov I. 1. Mitsaev R. (G) 25. Nasibov M. 7. Umarov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Shubin A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Khabibullin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', Kutepov I. 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, Murza A. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Smirnov O. (Pen),
56', Ivakin Y. ↓, Dibirov I. ↑,
56', Smirnov O. ↓, Nasibov M. ↑,
63', Pesikov E. 🟨,
66', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
67', Magomadov C. 🟨,
71', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Uridiya G. ↑,
71', Bagatelia L. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
75', Sedov M. ↓, Kotelnikov I. ↑,
75', Sidelnikov M. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
78', Umnikov M. 🟨,
82', Shaykhutdinov V. 🟨,
82', Maksimenkov I. 🟨,
84', Murza A. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
84', Voronin E. ↓, Minaev R. ↑,
86', Karpuk I. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, Novikov D. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.04.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTLW
- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.04.25	Veles Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Leningradets - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Veles Moscow - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
12.11.23	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
16.07.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Veles Moscow	1:0
Russian FNL
26.03.23	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
04.09.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Veles Moscow	0:2
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Veles Moscow	2:4

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