The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volga Ulyanovsk 41.2%
Draw 30.7%
Veles Moscow 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.3%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
29.2%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Volga Ulyanovsk - Veles Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shakerov R. (G) 88. Dziov M. 50. Bykov A. 5. Stepanov D. 4. Ibragimov K. (C) 7. Nikitin A. 99. Kostin A. 60. Kasyanov I. 55. Saplinov A. 9. Folmer K. 11. Khashkulov A.
41. Samok S. (G) 23. Skvortsov K. 5. Koloskov A. 15. Pliev K. 77. Smirnov O. 22. Zavezen Y. (C) 97. Shubin A. 11. Korolkov K. 90. Galkin V. 87. Nikin I. 9. Giraev K.
Substitutes
77. Bagatelia L. 17. Gershun I. 84. Gutsa A. 30. Khabibullin A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 15. Kokoev D. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 76. Livadnov V. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 10. Shagiakhmetov R.
99. Abdokov N. 10. Bammatgereev M. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 17. Kotov P. 94. Kuchugura D. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 88. Sadov D. 18. Sergeev D. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
Coaches
Grishchenko A.
Stukalov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Khashkulov A. 🟨,
29', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kasyanov I. ↓, Shagiakhmetov R. ↑,
46', Galkin V. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
57', Korolkov K. ↓, Kotov P. ↑,
57', Skvortsov K. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
63', Nikin I. 🟨,
65', Shubin A. ↓, Sergeev D. ↑,
68', Sergeev D. 🟨,
71', Nikitin A. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
75', Giraev K. ↓, Bammatgereev M. ↑,
77', Folmer K. ↓, Kovalev K. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Khashkulov A. ⚽,
83', Dziov M. 🟨,
85', Koloskov A. 🟨,
85', Khashkulov A. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
88', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 4.
Volga Ulyanovsk is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Veles have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Veles could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Volga Ulyanovsk holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Ulyanovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Veles Moscow
16
8
3
5
20:19
1
27
8
Ulyanovsk
16
6
3
7
21:22
-1
21
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Veles Moscow: 0.8% Ulyanovsk: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Volga Ulyanovsk - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.