Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Volksstimme


	Chemie Leipzig		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.25	2.35
	2.98	3.35	2.41
	2.85	3.26	2.33
	2.84	3.13	2.33
	2.9	3.14	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
32.2%

Draw
28.7%

Greifswald
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemie Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Greifswald (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Benyamina S. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Griebsch L. (Own goal),
17', 0 - 3, Wagner T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 1 - 3, Hoffmann J. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Ratifo S. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Greifswald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemie Leipzig won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.12.25	Magdeburg II - Chemie Leipzig	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Eilenburg - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chemie Leipzig - Meuselwitz	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Chemie Leipzig - Hertha Berlin II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.12.25	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Greifswald - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Altglienicke - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
02.08.25	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	3:0
26.03.25	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
31.08.24	Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald	1:2
20.04.24	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	3:0
04.11.23	Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald	0:0
30.04.23	Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald	3:1
12.11.22	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	2:2

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