Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 8

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday


	Chemie Leipzig		Plauen

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.33	7
	1.4	4.45	6.98
	1.4	4.37	6.95	Watch
	1.39	4.33	6.83
	1.42	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.36 ↑ (4.1)	6.75 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
65.3%

Draw
21.1%

Plauen
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

20.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemie Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chemie Leipzig's performance.

Plauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plauen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chemie Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plauen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chemie Leipzig - Plauen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Martynets J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', Abayomi Y. 🟥,
90', 1 - 1, Jagatic M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chemie Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plauen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chemie Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chemie Leipzig is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chemie Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chemie Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.09.24	Chemnitzer - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Chemie Leipzig	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Chemie Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWT
- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.09.24	Plauen - Meuselwitz	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Babelsberg - Plauen	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Plauen - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:4 ✺
20.08.24	Zwickau - Plauen	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Plauen - Hertha Berlin II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
30.03.19	Plauen - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
22.09.18	Chemie Leipzig - Plauen	1:0
27.11.16	Plauen - Chemie Leipzig	2:1

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