Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Chemnitzer		Auerbach

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.5	8.25
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.27	5.4	8.4
	1.25	5.91	11.1
	1.27	5	9
	1.26	6.1	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	5.57 ↑ (5.03)	9.44 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
73.6%

Draw
16.6%

Auerbach
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

10.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chemnitzer's performance.

Auerbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-34.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chemnitzer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auerbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chemnitzer - Auerbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chemnitzer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Auerbach is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chemnitzer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chemnitzer is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chemnitzer won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chemnitzer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.11.21	Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Carl Zeiss Jena - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Chemnitzer - Germania Halberstadt	5:2 ✺
20.10.21	Chemnitzer - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Optik Rathenow - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTW
- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.11.21	Auerbach - Optik Rathenow	3:3 ✺
27.10.21	Lichtenberg - Auerbach	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Berliner FC Dynamo - Auerbach	5:0 ✺
16.10.21	Auerbach - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
13.10.21	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
26.08.20	Auerbach - Chemnitzer	2:1
Club Friendly
11.02.20	Auerbach - Chemnitzer	2:2
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.04.19	Auerbach - Chemnitzer	0:2
25.08.18	Chemnitzer - Auerbach	2:1

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