Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Auerbach		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.9	1.55
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.5	4	1.62
	4.56	4.04	1.68
	5.8	4	1.47
	4.65	4.15	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↓ (5.78)	4.02 ↓ (4.48)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auerbach
19.2%

Draw
23%

Luckenwalde
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

20.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

17.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luckenwalde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auerbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luckenwalde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auerbach - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Auerbach is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luckenwalde is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auerbach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luckenwalde is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Auerbach won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Auerbach won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.10.21	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
06.10.21	Auerbach - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Chemie Leipzig - Auerbach	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Auerbach - Hertha Berlin II	3:2 ✺
01.09.21	Tasmania Berlin - Auerbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWL
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
02.10.21	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:0 ✺
29.09.21	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Optik Rathenow - Luckenwalde	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Luckenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
31.08.21	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
28.04.18	Luckenwalde - Auerbach	0:0
19.11.17	Auerbach - Luckenwalde	2:0
17.03.17	Auerbach - Luckenwalde	1:1
24.09.16	Luckenwalde - Auerbach	2:2
08.05.16	Luckenwalde - Auerbach	0:1
22.11.15	Auerbach - Luckenwalde	4:0

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