Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6	Watch
	1.46	4.65	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.96	6.19
	1.47	4.6	5.95	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.45	4.74	5.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.68 ↓ (4.91)	5.85 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
64.2%

Draw
19.9%

Yunnan Yukun
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chengdu Rongcheng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chengdu Rongcheng will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 18. Han Pengfei 28. Sorokin E. 5. Matheus Jussa 17. Wang Dongsheng 16. Yang Ming-Yang 10. Romulo 2. Hu H. 11. Wellington Silva 27. Abduweli Behram 7. Wei Shihao (C)	1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 25. Deng Hanwen 5. Shi Ke 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 7. Ye Chugui 8. Xu Xin 34. Caio Vinicius 10. Ionita II A. (C) 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.
Substitutes
19. Dong Y. 9. Felipe Silva 39. Gan Chao 4. He Yiran 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 23. Liao Lisheng 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 20. Wang Ziming	39. Abdusalam B. 32. Chen Yuhao 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 19. Huang Zichang 20. Tang Miao 14. Wang Xinghao (G) 23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 18. Yi Teng 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng 6. Zhao Yuhao
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Yang Zihao (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Wang Dongsheng ↓, He Yiran ↑,
46', Ionita II A. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
51', Abduweli Behram ↓, Felipe Silva ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Sorokin E. ⚽, Romulo (A),
61', 2 - 1, Felipe Silva ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
64', Sorokin E. 🟨,
80', Yang Zihao ↓, Abdusalam B. ↑,
80', Xu Xin ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
87', Matheus Jussa ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
87', Wellington Silva ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
88', Deng Hanwen ↓, Tang Miao ↑,
90+3', Shi Ke ↓, Fei Ernanduo ↑,
90+8', Romulo ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
90+9', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 4).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Chengdu Rongcheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:3 ✺
15.03.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTW
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
04.04.26	Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
23.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:5
16.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	1:1

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