Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 18

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18, Star Sports 3
World	JioTV app, Onefootball


	Chennaiyin		ATK Mohun Bagan

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.8
	3.4	3.3	1.83
	3.9	3.78	1.95
	3.82	3.69	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.74	3.64	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chennaiyin
25.1%

Draw
25.8%

ATK Mohun Bagan
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

24.7%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chennaiyin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ATK Mohun Bagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chennaiyin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Chennaiyin - ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chennaiyin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mohun Bagan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nawaz M. (G) 20. Kotal P. 5. Elsinho 3. Edwards R. (C) 23. Dakshinamurthy V. 10. Shields C. 22. Hnamte L. 8. Singh J. 7. Nassiri K. 9. Jordan 19. Yadwad I.	1. Kaith V. (G) 44. Rai A. 5. Aldred T. 21. Rodriguez A. 15. Bose S. (C) 22. Tangri D. 45. Apuia 10. Stewart G. 9. Petratos D. 16. Suryavanshi A. 72. Bhat S.
Substitutes
47. Barretto V. 71. Choudhary F. 27. Chukwu D. 17. Desai M. 1. Mitra S. (G) 26. Renthlei L. 77. Singh G. 37. Singh Y. J. 88. Vanspaul E. S.	63. Bhanwala S. 32. Biswas D. 17. Colaco L. 35. Cummings J. 29. Maclaren J. 33. Martins G. 18. Samad S. 31. Shaikh A. (G) 11. Singh M.
Coaches
Coyle O.	Molina J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Stewart G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rai A. 🟨,
60', Dakshinamurthy V. ↓, Renthlei L. ↑,
62', Tangri D. 🟨,
70', Bhat S. ↓, Colaco L. ↑,
70', Tangri D. ↓, Singh M. ↑,
71', Nawaz M. 🟨,
77', Petratos D. ↓, Maclaren J. ↑,
82', Singh J. ↓, Singh Y. J. ↑,
82', Nassiri K. ↓, Barretto V. ↑,
85', Elsinho ↓, Desai M. ↑,
85', Yadwad I. ↓, Choudhary F. ↑,
87', Suryavanshi A. ↓, Samad S. ↑,
87', Stewart G. ↓, Cummings J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chennaiyin won 2.

Recent matches Chennaiyin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mohun Bagan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Mohun Bagan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chennaiyin won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Chennaiyin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chennaiyin FC
Indian ISL
15.01.25	Mohammedan Kolkata - Chennaiyin	2:2 ✺
09.01.25	Chennaiyin - Odisha	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Chennaiyin - Bengaluru	2:4 ✺
21.12.24	Mumbai City - Chennaiyin	1:0 ✺
11.12.24	Chennaiyin - Hyderabad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLW
- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian ISL
17.01.25	Jamshedpur - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	1:0 ✺
02.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Hyderabad	3:0 ✺
26.12.24	Punjab - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:3 ✺
20.12.24	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
30.11.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Chennaiyin	1:0
31.03.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Chennaiyin	2:3
07.10.23	Chennaiyin - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:3
21.01.23	Chennaiyin - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:0
10.10.22	ATK Mohun Bagan - Chennaiyin	1:2
03.03.22	Chennaiyin - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:1
11.12.21	ATK Mohun Bagan - Chennaiyin	1:1

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