Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Chernihiv Stadium (Černihiv)


	Chernihiv		Podillya Khmelnytskyi

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.82
	2.37	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
38.3%

Draw
29.3%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chernihiv have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Podillya Khmelnytskyi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.	33. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 13. Profatilo Y. 21. Rudyuk V. 2. Savchuk P. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 11. Sitalo A. 77. Snizhko O.
Substitutes
17. Chaban V. 24. Dmytrovych D. D. 2. Galstyan E. 9. Kulyk D. 55. Romanchenko A. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 88. Stolyarchuk A. 25. Volskyi D. 23. Zenchenko O.	88. Baran R. 9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 6. Serafimov O. 23. Shavrin V. 19. Shkinder V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Profatilo Y. ⚽,
33', Porokhnya A. 🟨,
36', Savchuk P. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Porokhnya A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Koydan V. ↓, Kulyk D. ↑,
75', Shushko P. 🟨,
77', Porokhnya A. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
77', Shushko P. ↓, Romanchenko A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 12).

Recent form of Chernihiv has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Podillya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chernihiv has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernihiv won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Chernihiv - Kryvbas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
25.08.25	Atlet Kyiv - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.04.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	2:1
23.03.24	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
23.05.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	1:0
07.11.20	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:3

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