Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Chernihiv		Poltava

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.6
	4.5	3.75	1.63
	4.55	3.93	1.63
	4.56	3.93	1.64
	4.75	3.95	1.62
	4.6	3.8	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.38)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
19.9%

Draw
23.8%

Poltava
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.9%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.1%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chernihiv - Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shyray O. (G) 30. Bybik A. 11. Fedosov P. 10. Koydan V. 15. Lakeyenko A. 31. Mentey V. (C) 7. Myronenko D. 5. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 3. Shumylo M. 23. Zenchenko O.	1. Vartsaba I. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. 7. Gorzhuy M. 3. Khodulya I. 70. Kopytov D. 33. Migunov O. 39. Opanasenko Y. 11. Perebora A. 9. Shcherbak D. (C) 88. Vivdych O.
Substitutes
13. Bezgubchenko D. 27. Davydenko D. 2. Galstyan E. 99. Herasymenko D. (G) 9. Kryvoborodenko K. 26. Pinchuk K. 19. Posmashny N. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 21. Shkolnyi V. 91. Strilets A. 6. Veresotskyi A. 79. Vovk R.	27. Klymenko V. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 44. Plakhtyr D. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 13. Telnov M. (G) 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Preview

Chernihiv is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poltava is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Poltava is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chernihiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernihiv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.11.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
03.11.23	Kremin Kremenchuk - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.11.23	Poltava - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Poltava - Hirnyk-Sport	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Poltava - Kremin Kremenchuk	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Poltava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.09.23	Poltava - Chernihiv	2:0
20.11.22	Chernihiv - Poltava	0:1
01.10.22	Poltava - Chernihiv	1:1

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