Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Poltava		Hirnyk-Sport

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.39	4.42	6.54
	1.39	4.42	6.54
	1.36	4.2	5.8
	1.4	4.5	6.9
	1.41	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)	4.36 ↑ (3.65)	6.41 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
65.1%

Draw
20.8%

Hirnyk-Sport
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

26.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poltava's performance.

Hirnyk-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hirnyk-Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poltava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Poltava - Hirnyk Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vartsaba I. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. 7. Gorzhuy M. 3. Khodulya I. 70. Kopytov D. 33. Migunov O. 39. Opanasenko Y. 11. Perebora A. 9. Shcherbak D. 88. Vivdych O.	95. Veklych D. (G) 15. Chernysh D. 13. Chertkoev I. 14. Chibueze C. 10. Molko V. 94. Moroz Y. O. (C) 9. Posyevkin R. 77. Sheptitskyi M. 19. Tuzenko D. 79. Yanchuk D. 99. Zhukov M.
Substitutes
17. Garnaga V. 27. Klymenko V. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 5. Pidlepych V. 44. Plakhtyr D. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 13. Telnov M. (G) 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)	11. Dmytriev D. 18. Kalchuk O. 12. Kozlov S. (G) 70. Nyzhnyk A. 90. Ornat A. 66. Petrov Y. 17. Podrezan O. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 27. Romanenko A. 24. Vysochyn D. 20. Yurchenko I.

Preview

Recent matches Poltava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hirnyk-Sport is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hirnyk-Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poltava is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poltava won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Poltava won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.11.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Poltava - Kremin Kremenchuk	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Poltava	3:1 ✺
16.10.23	Poltava - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW
- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.11.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Viktoriya Sumy	2:2 ✺
20.10.23	Kremin Kremenchuk - Hirnyk-Sport	4:1 ✺
13.10.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Hirnyk-Sport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.09.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:3
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:0 ET
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.22	Poltava - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0
16.10.22	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:1

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