Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 6

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Ticha (Varna)

Referee: Zhelezov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Cherno More Varna		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	8	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.27	8.55
	1.43	4.27	7.48	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.42	4.3	7.75	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.27 ↓ (4.3)	7.68 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
66.2%

Draw
21.7%

Krumovgrad
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.7%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Krumovgrad aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cherno More Varna - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Iliev P. (G) 6. Popov V. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Martin D. 27. Dimov D. (C) 71. Panayotov V. 11. Dudu 10. Soula M. 8. Donchev A. 9. Isa I.	1. Georgiev Y. (G) 91. Velev V. 5. Simic M. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 24. Marin L. 10. Yusein S. 11. Georgiev A. 18. Daniel 17. Patrick Luan 70. Matheus Souza 19. Milev N.
Substitutes
7. Breno 13. Keseru C. 17. Milushev M. 23. Pacheco E. 5. Pais N. 2. Panov T. 84. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Stefanov R. 91. Vasilev V.	2. Ali D. 99. Guermouche Y. 4. Lucas Santana 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 14. Popov S. 25. Rabotov S. 9. Rafael Furtado 7. Tsvetanov M. 77. Yusein O.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Ribarski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Milev N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Panayotov V. ⚽, Dudu (A),
41', Dimov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Milev N. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
59', Georgiev A. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
60', Matheus Souza ↓, Tsvetanov M. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Soula M. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
70', Martin D. ↓, Panov T. ↑,
72', Donchev A. ↓, Pacheco E. ↑,
72', Isa I. ↓, Keseru C. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Panov T. ⚽, Soula M. (A),
77', Dimov D. ↓, Pais N. ↑,
77', Dudu ↓, Vasilev V. ↑,
79', Panov T. 🟨,
83', Patrick Luan ↓, Yusein O. ↑,
90+4', Vasilev V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Cherno More is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krumovgrad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krumovgrad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cherno More is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cherno More won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.08.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Cherno More Varna - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Cherno More Varna - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.24	Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.08.24	Krumovgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
04.08.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
26.07.24	Arda Kardzhali - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
19.07.24	Krumovgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.05.24	Cherno More Varna - Krumovgrad	3:1
26.11.23	Cherno More Varna - Krumovgrad	3:2
28.07.23	Krumovgrad - Cherno More Varna	1:3

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