Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Israel	Sport 4


	Cherno More Varna		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.5
	2.9	3	2.55
	3.03	3.1	2.64
	2.97	2.94	2.58	Watch
	2.88	3.08	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.12)	3 ↓ (3.22)	2.54 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
32.3%

Draw
31.1%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cherno More Varna's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	17.4%	66.7%

Cherno More Varna - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 11 - 15.9%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 46 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 55.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Iliev P. (G) 6. Popov V. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 2. Panov T. 71. Panayotov V. 27. Dimov D. (C) 8. Donchev A. 10. Soula M. 16. Calcan A. 99. Weslen Junior	1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 5. Blorian O. 18. Tibi E. (C) 22. Lopes H. 8. Gordana R. 19. Elias S. 24. Badash G. 7. Sefer A. 77. Hatuel R. 17. Turgeman A.
Substitutes
29. Beyhan B. 7. Breno 11. Dudu 9. Isa I. 15. Martin D. 17. Milushev M. 23. Pacheco E. 5. Pais N. 84. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Stefanov R. 91. Vasilev V. 39. Zlatev N.	21. Ahmed Z. 35. Bareiro M. 55. Eliasi N. (G) 16. Ganah A. C. 25. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 26. Peretz E. 10. Quinonez D. 14. Rigen L. 9. Shushenachev A. 27. Stoyanov Y. 15. Yosefi T.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Kozuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Lopes H. ⚽, Gordana R. (A),
32', Mizrahi G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Calcan A. ⚽,
39', Lopes H. 🟨,
40', Weslen Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Hatuel R. 🟨,
60', Donchev A. ↓, Isa I. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Lopes H. ⚽, Sefer A. (A),
65', Calcan A. ↓, Dudu ↑,
65', Weslen Junior ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
70', Hatuel R. ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
79', Elias S. ↓, Stoyanov Y. ↑,
79', Sefer A. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
79', Badash G. ↓, Quinonez D. ↑,
80', Dimov D. ↓, Breno ↑,
80', Panov T. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
81', Blorian O. 🟨,
85', Turgeman A. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
88', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
89', Marciano O. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Huvepharma Arena. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Cherno More is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cherno More could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.07.24	Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.07.24	Cherno More Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Levski Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
27.06.24	Cherno More Varna - Botev Vratsa	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTT?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
20.07.24	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
03.07.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Górnik Łęczna	4:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.05.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Cherno More Varna	0:0

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