The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 54.4%
Draw 26.5%
Septemvri Sofia 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.3%
24.8%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
23.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 4% โ 71%.
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (2.10) (votes: 88%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 50. Tombak E. 3. Atanasov Z. 5. Squadrone L. 37. Kerchev V. 99. Bounaas I. 24. Teles D. 7. Barandas M. 71. Panayotov V. 10. Sidney C. 19. Lazarov G.
12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 13. Onasci K. 4. Hristov M. 26. Ozornwafor V. 8. Penchev B. 33. Ivanov G. 6. Ferreira P. 19. Pedro Igor 10. Iliev N. 29. Herard F. 27. Liberal A.
Substitutes
11. Achi M. 23. Banev M. 29. Beyhan B. 8. Donchev A. 22. Kostadinov N. 44. Lumbu N. 77. Manasiev A. (G) 34. Mihaylov K. 13. Nyagolov E. 9. Padilla J. 93. Ventsislavov G.
24. Atanasov Z. A. 17. Fontaine N. 3. Gospodinov P. 23. Pedrinho 1. Radkov A. (G) 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 25. Vulikic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Lazarov G. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Panayotov V. ⚽,
29', Bounaas I. 🟨,
35', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
37', Pedro Igor ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
45+1', Hristov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Penchev B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
46', Ozornwafor V. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
57', Ivanov Vladimir 🟨,
67', Iliev N. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
73', Tombak E. 🟨,
76', Sidney C. ↓, Achi M. ↑,
76', Barandas M. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
79', Onasci K. ↓, Gospodinov P. ↑,
82', Kerchev V. 🟨,
85', Teles D. ↓, Beyhan B. ↑,
90', Panayotov V. ↓, Ventsislavov G. ↑,
90+5', Ferreira P. 🟨,
90+6', Liberal A. 🟥,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 13th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 4.
In recent outings, Cherno More has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Septemvri Sofia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cherno More may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Cherno More for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cherno More against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Cherno More
12
2
3
7
13:22
-9
9
14
Septemvri Sofia
12
2
2
8
10:23
-13
8
Last Results with these Odds
Cherno More Varna - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.32%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
Croatia
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Tomov K. (G) 
Squadrone L. 
Bounaas I. 
Teles D. 
Ozornwafor V. 
Pedro Igor 
Herard F. 
Achi M. 
Padilla J. 
Fontaine N. 
Gospodinov P. 
Vulikic S. 
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