The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherno More Varna 61.5%
Draw 26.8%
Septemvri Sofia 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.9%
19.2%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.1%
17.9%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cherno More Varna's form might have worsened.
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Iliev P. (G) 8. Donchev A. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 2. Panov T. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 10. Chandarov A. 11. Joao Pedro 23. Tonev D. 39. Zlatev N. 77. Sidney C.
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 23. Schouten R. 4. Hristov M. 13. Onasci K. (C) 7. Parra M. 6. Ochayi V. 5. Baurenski Y. 27. Varbanov G. 17. Fontaine N. 9. Fourrier B. 10. Serber K.
Substitutes
16. Calcan A. 9. Gustavo Franca 15. Martin D. 17. Milushev M. 20. Phellipe 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 81. Tomov K. (G)
25. Aruna A. 18. Bibishkov M. 11. Dzhamov A. 12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 24. Mattoir F. 26. Ozornwafor V. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 14. Vasilev S.
Coaches
Iliev I.
Belchev S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
37', Schouten R. 🟨,
41', Parra M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zlatev N. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
46', Panov T. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Atanasov Z. ⚽, Sidney C. (A),
67', Fontaine N. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
67', Schouten R. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
70', Panayotov V. 🟨,
74', Tonev D. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
77', Parra M. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
77', Serber K. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
79', Chandarov A. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
88', Fourrier B. 🟨,
88', Fourrier B. ↓, Dzhamov A. ↑,
90+2', Joao Pedro ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
90+3', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 3.
Cherno More is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Septemvri Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Cherno More is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).