Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Chernomorets Balchik		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.5	Watch
	5.86	3.78	1.48
	5.86	3.78	1.48
	6.3	3.88	1.46	Watch
	6	3.8	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (4.77)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Balchik
15.1%

Draw
23.8%

Septemvri Sofia
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

25.6%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.7%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Balchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Balchik than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grigorov G. (G) 10. Bonev D. 7. Buzon C. 6. Denchev V. 14. Dimov D. 21. Nachev M. (C) 24. N'Sonde J. 15. Radev G. 2. Radev Y. 19. Tomov I. 18. Yankov N.	21. Sheytanov D. (G) 11. Achkov M. 4. Arsov I. 8. Atanasov Z. A. 22. Dimitrov Z. 5. Georgiev A. (C) 10. Kostadinov D. 9. Mihaylov I. 18. Onasci K. 7. Ramadan A. 17. Stojanov M.
Substitutes
3. Georgiev D. 30. Iliev D. (G) 8. Iliev R. 11. Khodakovskyi M. 23. Nakov A. 9. Petkov M. 17. Totev T. 20. Tsachev I.	1. Andreev A. (G) 26. Badara A. 25. Dimitrov G. 15. Dinkov G. 23. Gavrilov Y. 14. Ivanov H. 24. Marinov B. 19. Mitkov M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Chernomorets Balchik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Septemvri Sofia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernomorets Balchik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Septemvri Sofia have a series of home games.

In this match Septemvri Sofia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chernomorets Balchik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernomorets Balchik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgarian Cup
09.11.23	Chernomorets Balchik - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.11.23	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Balchik	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Spartak Varna - Chernomorets Balchik	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Belasitsa Petrich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Vratsa	5:6 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Septemvri Sofia - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.03.20	Septemvri Sofia - Chernomorets Balchik	4:0
17.08.19	Chernomorets Balchik - Septemvri Sofia	0:1

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