Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Spartak Varna		Chernomorets Balchik

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	13	Watch
	1.18	5.34	12.86
	1.19	5.35	13	Watch
	1.2	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	5.45 ↑ (4.2)	12.72 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
76.2%

Draw
16.7%

Chernomorets Balchik
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

18.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Varna's performance.

Chernomorets Balchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Varna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Balchik than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Balchik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Spartak Varna - Chernomorets Balchik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chernomorets Balchik will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Georgiev G. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 2. Boev V. 13. Ivanov G. 14. Ivey R. 9. Mehmed M. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 3. Petrov P. 6. Tsvetkov A.	1. Grigorov G. (G) 10. Bonev D. 7. Buzon C. 6. Fonkeu W. 3. Georgiev D. (C) 12. Georgiev P. 13. N'Sonde J. 14. Radev G. 2. Radev Y. 38. Tomov I. 18. Yankov N.
Substitutes
19. Aleksandrov A. 78. Angelov A. 44. Granchov A. 99. Halachev D. 18. Hyusein H. 7. Iliev E. 75. N'Zi J. 8. Vasev B. 89. Videnov N. (G)	33. Denchev V. 30. Dimov D. 27. Iliev D. (G) 8. Iliev R. 21. Nachev M. 23. Nakov A. 11. Petkov M. 17. Totev T. 20. Tsachev I.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Spartak Varna is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.10.23	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Spartak Varna - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Dunav Ruse - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLLW
- Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.10.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Belasitsa Petrich	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	Bdin Vidin - Chernomorets Balchik	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Chernomorets Burgas	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Chernomorets Balchik	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Sportist Svoge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.19	Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna	1:0

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