Match Info

efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3


	Septemvri Sofia		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.66	3.9	4.2
	1.25	5.3	9.8
	1.26	5.88	9.45
	1.22	6.66	9.94
	1.22	5	10
	1.24	5.7	11	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.39)	5.09 ↑ (3.08)	8.55 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
69.2%

Draw
19.3%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.

Dobrudzha Dobrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dobrudzha Dobrich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-30.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dobrudzha Dobrich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Dobrudzha Dobrich (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dobrudzha Dobrich (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (C) 26. Ozornwafor V. 4. Hristov M. 19. Ivkic D. 23. Schouten R. 5. Baurenski Y. 18. Abou A. 30. Stamatov M. 17. Fontaine N. 9. Fourrier B. 10. Stojanovic S.	13. Grigorov G. (G) 77. Matheus Leoni 72. Oliveira V. 22. Hurtado J. 37. Kerchev V. 35. Lovric D. 7. Ivanov A. 82. Ressurreicao D. 10. Costa Silva T. 11. Hanne B. 98. Mihaylov I.
Substitutes
29. Herard F. 33. Ivanov G. 8. Kolev K. 12. Krastev N. (G) 13. Onasci K. 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 3. Wade S.	30. Dinev I. 45. Hasan D. 88. Madaleno D. 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 3. Pirgov D. 20. Ramadan A. 70. Stanev K. 99. Trifonov G.
Coaches
Arangelov H.	Petrov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Ivanov A. 🟨,
32', Hurtado J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Hristov M. ⚽, Stamatov M. (A),
34', Fontaine N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matheus Leoni ↓, Trifonov G. ↑,
57', Abou A. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
60', Trifonov G. 🟨,
61', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Ramadan A. ↑,
71', Mihaylov I. ↓, Pirgov D. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Trifonov G. ⚽,
73', Stojanovic S. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
73', Schouten R. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
75', Hristov M. 🟨,
80', Ribeiro E. 🟨,
80', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
83', Fourrier B. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Grigorov G. 🟨,
84', Fontaine N. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
84', Stamatov M. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
89', Tomovski B. 🟨,
90+4', Hanne B. 🟨,
90+4', Wade S. 🟨,
90+5', Oliveira V. 🟥,
90+6', Hanne B. ↓, Hasan D. ↑,
90+6', Ivanov G. 🟥,
90+6', Costa Silva T. ↓, Dinev I. ↑,
90+9', Tomovski B. 🟨,
90+9', Ivanov A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.

Recent performances by Septemvri Sofia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dobrudzha Dobrich has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Septemvri Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.05.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Slavia Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLT
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.05.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Botev Vratsa	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Slavia Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	3:0
18.08.25	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.05.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	0:0
23.10.23	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0
09.03.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
22.08.21	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1
05.04.21	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	0:1

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