Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.15	3.09
	2.4	3.09	3.09
	2.33	3.13	3.04	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
39.6%

Draw
30%

Leningradets
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Leningradets Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Leningradets will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 7. Antonov A. 24. Budagyan Y. 17. Fomin D. 5. Garaev V. (C) 15. Grechkin A. 77. Korobov D. 4. Kumburovic N. 10. Magomedov Z. 14. Maklakov I. 19. Rudenko V.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 6. Beljaev M. 8. Gorulev V. 17. Kaptilov V. 41. Mikushin V. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. (C) 33. Yakovlev A. 90. Zhironkin V.
Substitutes
9. Abakarov M. 96. Adaev V. 25. Basyrov S. 90. Deljkin A. 47. Filippov M. (G) 27. Gurchenko D. 3. Khagur R. 13. Kirilenko V. 21. Klimov N. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 8. Panamarev N. 11. Saaduev S.	3. Bulygin I. 10. Gorelishvili M. 23. Ilyin S. 47. Kazakov R. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 11. Markin M. 30. Morozov N. 70. Ortyashov M. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 73. Sokolov D. 91. Zaytsev A. (G)
Coaches
Garanin V.	Kiryakov S.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Chernomorets has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leningradets is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leningradets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chernomorets will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chernomorets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
12.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Khimki	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
01.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
11.11.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Leningradets	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Leningradets - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Leningradets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Leningradets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.10.23	Leningradets - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1

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