Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Khimki

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.2	2.25
	3.65	3.11	2.13
	3.44	3.28	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (4.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
26.8%

Draw
29.4%

Khimki
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

29%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

28.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khimki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khimki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Khimki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 7. Antonov A. 17. Fomin D. 5. Garaev V. (C) 15. Grechkin A. 27. Gurchenko D. 77. Korobov D. 10. Magomedov Z. 14. Maklakov I. 19. Rudenko V. 11. Saaduev S.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 2. Golubovic P. 80. Khosonov K. 11. Koryan A. 66. Leo Andrade 97. Magomedov B. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 9. Rudenko A. 5. Stepanov D. 98. Terekhov S. 67. Varatynov S.
Substitutes
96. Adaev V. 25. Basyrov S. 24. Budagyan Y. 90. Deljkin A. 47. Filippov M. (G) 3. Khagur R. 13. Kirilenko V. 21. Klimov N. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 8. Panamarev N. 16. Tyurin M. (G)	77. Avetisyan P. 17. Berkovskiy I. 44. Burychenkov Y. (G) 76. Gavrilov M. D. 31. Kasimov T. 6. Melentijevic S. 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 21. Mokhammad A. 8. Panchenko K. 22. Skvortsov L. 23. Volkov Z. 20. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Zyryanov K.	Talalaev A.

Preview

Chernomorets is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Khimki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Khimki have a series of home games.

Khimki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian Cup
01.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLWL
- FC Khimki
Russian Cup
01.11.23	Khimki - Dynamo Vladivostok	4:0 ✺
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Khimki - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	KAMAZ - Khimki	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.10.23	Khimki - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Khimki - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Khimki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide