Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 6

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Centralnyy (Novorossiysk)

Referee: Tselovalnikov O. (Rus)


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.36	4.26
	1.91	3.3	4.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	4.25 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
49.5%

Draw
28.3%

Tyumen
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tyumen will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 44. Chichinadze A. 35. Enin I. 21. Ivanov E. 77. Khabalov A. 57. Krotov V. 64. Lanin O. 3. Musalov M. 69. Rodionov I. 5. Stezhko V. 9. Uridia M. (C)	1. Savin A. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
7. Antonov A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 62. Budachev I. (G) 27. Gurchenko D. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 10. Magomedov Z. 81. Melnikov N. 23. Nikiforov N. 75. Okladnikov A. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 8. Stolbov K.	16. Ergardt V. (G) 97. Goshev E. (G) 2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 32. Kulishev A. 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 71. Medvedev A. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S.
Coaches
Garanin V.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Uridia M. ⚽,
40', Korotaev A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krotov V. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
46', Khabalov A. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
58', Enin I. 🟨,
64', Korotaev A. ↓, Kulishev A. ↑,
65', Musalov M. ↓, Bezchasnyuk A. ↑,
79', Uridia M. ↓, Okladnikov A. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Antonov A. ⚽,
80', Bem A. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
82', Talalay D. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Kenfak O. ⚽,
90+3', Antonov A. ↓, Kumburovic N. ↑,
90+5', Kenfak O. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chernomorets is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chernomorets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernomorets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
10.08.24	Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural	3:2 ✺
21.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
11.08.24	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Ufa - Tyumen	2:2 ✺
28.07.24	Shinnik - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.04.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1
22.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	0:1
Club Friendly
05.02.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	2:3

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