Match Info

FNL - Round 1

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Sapsan Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)


	Rodina Moscow		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.63	3.55
	2.05	3.4	3.59	Watch
	1.95	3.44	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	3.49 ↑ (3.42)	3.67 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
47%

Draw
27.2%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aydarov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 77. Koryan A. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 88. Sokol A. 4. Tananeev D. 19. Tikhonov D. 23. Ushatov K.	32. Matyusha M. (G) 9. Aliev S. 2. Cherov V. (C) 31. Kasimov T. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Lozhkin V. 88. Masternoy V. 99. Morozov K. 18. Nikolaev O. 8. Tarba Z.
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 91. Barinov D. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 3. Goglichidze L. 7. Gueye P. 20. Kontsevoy A. 55. Krizan M. 52. Kuzmichev I. 38. Musaev L. 31. Svinov I. (G) 79. Svintsov D. 99. Timoshenko I.	22. Gorelov P. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 3. Pliev Z. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 89. Stotskiy D. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 71. Yakovlev D. 77. Zarypbekov E. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Pervushin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Tikhonov D. ⚽,
18', Tikhonov D. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
24', 1 - 1, Masternoy V. ⚽,
36', Fishchenko R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
54', Masternoy V. 🟨,
55', Tarba Z. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
56', Lozhkin V. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
57', Bessmertniy S. 🟨,
59', Ushatov K. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
60', Fishchenko R. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
63', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
68', Kasimov T. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
70', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
72', Tananeev D. 🟨,
74', Meshchaninov A. ↓, Krizan M. ↑,
75', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
83', Morozov K. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
83', Masternoy V. ↓, Stotskiy D. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Rodina is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	6:2 ✺
17.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.11.24	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1
01.09.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow	2:2
12.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:0
Russian Cup
01.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0
Russian FNL
23.07.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow	0:0

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